Multiparametric Evaluation of Radiomics Features and Dual-Energy CT Iodine Maps for Discrimination and Outcome Prediction of Thymic Masses

To investigate the diagnostic value of radiomics features and dual-source dual-energy CT (DECT) based material decomposition in differentiating low-risk thymomas, high-risk thymomas, and thymic carcinomas.This retrospective study included 32 patients (16 males, mean age 66 ± 14 years) with pathologically confirmed thymic masses who underwent contrast-enhanced DECT between 10/2014 and 01/2023. Two experienced readers evaluated all patients regarding conventional radiomics features, as well as DECT-based features, including attenuation (HU), iodine density (mg/mL), and fat fraction (%). Data comparisons were performed using analysis of variance and chi-square statistic tests. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and Cox-regression tests were used to discriminate between low-risk/high-risk thymomas and thymic carcinomas.Of the 32 thymic tumors, 12 (38%) were low-risk thymomas, 11 (34%) were high-risk thymomas, and 9 (28%) were thymic carcinomas. Values differed significantly between low-risk thymoma, high-risk thymoma, and thymic carcinoma regarding DECT-based features (p ≤ 0.023) and 30 radiomics features (p ≤ 0.037). The area under the curve to differentiate between low-risk/high-risk thymomas and thymic cancer was 0.998 (95% CI, 0.915-1.000; p < 0.001) for the combination of DECT imaging parameters and radiomics features, yielding a sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 96%. During a follow-up of 60 months (IQR, 35-60 months), the multiparametric approach including radiomics features, DECT parameters, and clinical parameters showed an excellent prognostic power to predict all-cause mortality (c-index = 0.978 [95% CI, 0.958-0.998], p = 0.003).A multiparametric approach including conventional radiomics features and DECT-based features facilitates accurate, non-invasive discrimination between low-risk/high-risk thymomas and thymic carcinomas.