Comparison between physiologically based pharmacokinetic and population pharmacokinetic modelling to select paediatric doses of gepotidacin in plague

AIMS: To develop physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) and population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) models to predict effective doses of gepotidacin in paediatrics for the treatment of pneumonic plague (Yersinia pestis). METHODS: A gepotidacin PBPK model was constructed using a population-based absorption, distribution, metabolism and excretion simulator, Simcyp®, with physicochemical and in vitro data, optimized with clinical data from a dose-escalation intravenous (IV) study and a human mass balance study. A PopPK model was developed with pooled PK data from phase 1 studies with IV gepotidacin in healthy adults. RESULTS: predictions with PopPK were slightly higher than with PBPK. The two models differed on dose predictions in children <3 months old. The PopPK model may be suboptimal for low age groups due to the absence of maturation characterization of drug-metabolizing enzymes involved with clearance in adults. CONCLUSIONS: Both PBPK and PopPK approaches can reasonably predict gepotidacin exposures in children.