Recommending Products When Consumers Learn Their Preference Weights

偏爱 推荐系统 产品(数学) 水准点(测量) 偏好学习 计算机科学 先验概率 价值(数学) 产品类别 空格(标点符号) 情报检索 机器学习 人工智能 经济 数学 微观经济学 贝叶斯概率 几何学 地理 操作系统 大地测量学
作者
Daria Dzyabura,John R. Hauser
出处
期刊:Marketing Science [Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences]
卷期号:38 (3): 417-441 被引量:94
标识
DOI:10.1287/mksc.2018.1144
摘要

Consumers often learn the weights they ascribe to product attributes (“preference weights”) as they search. For example, after test driving cars, a consumer might find that he or she undervalued trunk space and overvalued sunroofs. Preference-weight learning makes optimal search complex because each time a product is searched, updated preference weights affect the expected utility of all products and the value of subsequent optimal search. Product recommendations, which take preference-weight learning into account, help consumers search. We motivate a model in which consumers learn (update) their preference weights. When consumers learn preference weights, it may not be optimal to recommend the product with the highest option value, as in most search models, or the product most likely to be chosen, as in traditional recommendation systems. Recommendations are improved if consumers are encouraged to search products with diverse attribute levels, products that are undervalued, or products for which recommendation-system priors differ from consumers’ priors. Synthetic data experiments demonstrate that proposed recommendation systems outperform benchmark recommendation systems, especially when consumers are novices and when recommendation systems have good priors. We demonstrate empirically that consumers learn preference weights during search, that recommendation systems can predict changes, and that a proposed recommendation system encourages learning. The data files and online appendix are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/mksc.2018.1144 .
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