Automated Abdominal CT Imaging Biomarkers for Opportunistic Prediction of Future Major Osteoporotic Fractures in Asymptomatic Adults

Background Body composition data from abdominal CT scans have the potential to opportunistically identify those at risk for future fracture. Purpose To apply automated bone, muscle, and fat tools to noncontrast CT to assess performance for predicting major osteoporotic fractures and to compare with the Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX) reference standard. Materials and Methods Fully automated bone attenuation (L1-level attenuation), muscle attenuation (L3-level attenuation), and fat (L1-level visceral-to-subcutaneous [V/S] ratio) measures were derived from noncontrast low-dose abdominal CT scans in a generally healthy asymptomatic adult outpatient cohort from 2004 to 2016. The FRAX score was calculated from data derived from an algorithmic electronic health record search. The cohort was assessed for subsequent future fragility fractures. Subset analysis was performed for patients evaluated with dual x-ray absorptiometry (