Impact of pre-sarcopenia on outcomes of transarterial chemoembolization in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma

Sarcopenia's impact on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) outcomes is well-documented, but the effects of pre-sarcopenia remain unclear. This study investigates the impact of pre-sarcopenia on tumor response and survival in patients with unresectable HCC undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). We retrospectively evaluated muscle volume using the SliceOmatic software in patients with unresectable HCC treated with TACE. Pre-sarcopenia was defined by Japan Society of Hepatology standards (men: 42 cm²/m²; women: 38 cm²/m²). Pre-sarcopenia and non-pre-sarcopenia groups were compared, and Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify survival-influencing variables. Subgroup analysis was conducted stratified by the tumor burden, using serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels at a diagnostic cutoff value of 200 ng/mL. Of the 100 patients, 39 had pre-sarcopenia. The presence of pre-sarcopenia was not associated with tumor complete response achievement. The median overall survival (OS) was significantly lower in the pre-sarcopenia group (18 months) than in the non-pre-sarcopenia group (30 months; log-rank P = 0.039). Subgroup analysis among 77 patients with AFP < 200 ng/mL revealed that OS was particularly poor in the pre-sarcopenia group (16 vs. 34 months; log-rank P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis identified increased AFP (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] per 10-unit increase 1.142; P < 0.001), higher Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score (adjusted HR per 1-unit increase 1.176; P < 0.001), and pre-sarcopenia (adjusted HR 2.965; P < 0.001) as predictors of shorter OS. Pre-sarcopenia is a significant predictor of increased mortality in patients with unresectable HCC undergoing TACE, especially in those with AFP < 200 ng/mL, suggesting its potential as a target for early intervention.