Time Since Prior NSTEMI and Major Adverse Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Events After Noncardiac Surgery

Importance Delaying elective noncardiac surgery after a recent acute myocardial infarction is associated with better outcomes, but current American Heart Association recommendations are based on data that are more than 20 years old. Objective To examine the association between the time since a non–ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) and the risk of postoperative major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE). Design, Setting, and Participants This cross-sectional study examined Medicare claims data between 2015 and 2020 for patients 67 years or older who had major noncardiac surgery. Data were analyzed from September 21, 2023, to February 1, 2024. Exposure Time elapsed between a prior NSTEMI and surgery. Main Outcomes and Measures MACCE (30-day mortality, in-hospital myocardial infarction, heart failure, or stroke) and all-cause 30-day mortality. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate the association between outcomes and time since a prior NSTEMI. Results The sample included 5 227 473 surgeries. The mean (SD) age was 75.7 (6.6) years; 2 981 239 (57.0%) were female, and 2 246 234 (43%) were male. There were 42 278 patients (0.81%) with a previous NSTEMI. Compared with patients without a prior NSTEMI, patients with an NSTEMI within 30 days of elective surgery had higher odds of MACCE, regardless of whether they had undergone coronary revascularization (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 2.15; 95% CI, 1.09-4.23; P = .03) or not (aOR, 2.04; 95% CI, 1.31-3.16; P = .001). The odds of postoperative MACCE leveled off after 30 days in patients who had undergone any coronary revascularization procedure (and after 90 days in patients with drug-eluting stents) and then increased after 180 days (any revascularization at 181-365 days: aOR, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.25-1.71; P < .001; patients with drug-eluting stents at 181-365 days: aOR, 1.73; 95% CI, 1.42-2.12; P < .001). The odds of MACCE did not level off for patients who did not have revascularization. Findings for all-cause 30-day mortality were similar to those for MACCE, except that the odds of mortality in patients with previous NSTEMI who had revascularization leveled off after 60 days in elective surgeries and 90 days for nonelective surgeries (elective 30-day: aOR, 2.88; 95% CI, 1.30-6.36; P = .009; elective 61- to 90-day: aOR, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.57-1.86; P = .92; nonelective 30-day: aOR, 1.91; 95% CI, 1.52-2.40; P < .001; nonelective 91- to 120-day: aOR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.73-1.37; P = .99). Conclusions and Relevance This study found that among older patients undergoing noncardiac surgery who had revascularization, the odds of postoperative MACCE and mortality leveled off between 30 and 90 days and then increased after 180 days. The odds did not level off for patients who did not have revascularization. Delaying elective noncardiac surgery to occur between 90 and 180 days after an NSTEMI may be reasonable for patients who have had revascularization.