Prediction of HER2 Expression in Gastric Adenocarcinoma Based On Preoperative Noninvasive Multimodal 18F-FDG PET/CT Imaging

Rationale and Objectives

This study aims to investigate the role of a flourine-18 fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT) multimodal radiomics model in predicting the status of human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) expression preoperatively in cases of gastric adenocarcinoma.

Materials and Methods

This retrospective study included 133 patients with gastric adenocarcinoma who were classified into training (n = 93) and validation (n = 40) cohorts in a ratio of 7:3. Features were selected using Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) methods; further, prediction models were constructed using logistic regression and XGBoost. These models were evaluated and validated using area under the curve (AUC), decision curves, and calibration curves to select the best-performing model.

Results

Six different models were established to predict HER2 expression. Among these, the comprehensive model, which integrates seven clinical features, one CT feature, and five PET features, demonstrated AUC values of 0.95 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.89-1.00) and 0.76 (95% CI: 0.52-1.00) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Compared with other models, this model exhibited a superior net benefit on the decision curve and demonstrated good alignment agreement with the observed values on the calibration curve. Based on these findings, we constructed a nomogram for visualizing the model, providing a noninvasive preoperative method for predicting HER2 expression.

Conclusion

The preoperative ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT multimodal radiomics model can effectively predict HER2 expression in patients with gastric adenocarcinoma, thereby guiding clinical decision-making and advancing the field of precision medicine.