Social isolation and subsequent health and well-being in older adults: A longitudinal outcome-wide analysis

Social isolation has become a serious public health issue. However, most previous studies examine the relationship between social isolation and a single outcome. We aimed to conduct holistic assessments to understand the multidimensional impacts of social isolation on health and well-being.We used the three-wave data (2013, 2016, and 2019) obtained from the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study. Our exposure, obtained from the 2016 survey, was the Social Isolation Index (SII) comprising five components: no partner, poor interaction with children, poor interaction with relatives, poor interaction with friends, and no social participation). We assessed 36 health and well-being outcomes across six dimensions obtained from the 2019 survey: physical/cognitive health, health behaviours, mental health, subjective well-being, social isolation, and cognitive social capital. Pre-exposure characteristics and prior outcome levels in 2013 were adjusted. We included 47,318 respondents for 4 outcomes (death, dementia, and functional disability) and 34,187 respondents for 32 other outcomes. The Bonferroni correction was used to correct for multiple tests.The total SII scores were associated with a wide range of health and well-being outcomes across the six dimensions. Specifically, we found a robust association between an SII score of four or greater with mortality (Odds ratio: 1.89; 95% CI: 1.46-2.43). Among the five components of the SII, poor interaction with friends and no social participation showed robust associations with a wide range of health and well-being. We also found some robust evidence regarding effect modification by gender and age in the associations between the components of the SII and health and well-being.Social isolation, specifically social interaction with friends and social participation, may affect a wide range of health and well-being among older adults.