Cf-PWV Versus ba-PWV in Predicting Cardiovascular Events: Insights From a Community-Based Cohort

医学 切断 四分位数 内科学 一致性 比例危险模型 前瞻性队列研究 脉冲波速 队列 心脏病学 预测值 队列研究 血压 危险分层 临床终点 试验预测值 风险评估 接收机工作特性 置信区间 心血管健康 弗雷明翰风险评分 逐步回归 心血管事件 风险因素 脉冲压力 线性回归 回归 生存分析 曲线下面积 回归分析 切断 脉搏波分析
作者
Chen Chi,Jiaxin Li,Haotian Yang,Jiadela Teliewubai,Song Zhao,Shikai Yu,Jing Xiong,Yi Zhang
出处
期刊:Hypertension [Lippincott Williams & Wilkins]
标识
DOI:10.1161/hypertensionaha.125.25929
摘要

BACKGROUND: To directly compare the predictive ability of carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cf-PWV) and brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (ba-PWV) for cardiovascular events within the same population. METHODS: This is a community-based prospective cohort study that included older adults (>65 years). The primary end point was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), including cardiovascular mortality, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke. RESULTS: A total of 3309 participants (median age [quartiles], 70 [67–75] years; 1434 [43.3%] male) were included. The median follow-up time was 6.40 [6.37–6.41] years. Cf-PWV and ba-PWV were moderately correlated ( R =0.588; P <0.001). Participants were divided into 4 groups by quartiles or 2 groups using cutoff values. Aalen-Johansen estimators and Cox regression analyses indicated that both cf-PWV and ba-PWV were associated with an increased rate of MACEs. When cf-PWV and ba-PWV were cross-adjusted, only cf-PWV remained significantly associated with MACEs and mortality (hazard ratio, 1.12 [95% CI, 1.00–1.25]; P =0.048 and 1.16 [95% CI, 1.03–1.29]; P =0.032, respectively) in both full-model and stepwise regressions. Stratification based on cf-PWV and ba-PWV cutoff values further revealed that elevated cf-PWV was associated with a higher risk of MACEs, independent of baseline ba-PWV. Concordance index, net reclassification improvement, and integrated discrimination improvement analyses confirmed the additive value of cf-PWV to conventional cardiovascular risk factors. Other stiffness-related parameters, including pulse pressure and its amplification, were not independently associated with MACEs. CONCLUSIONS: Both cf-PWV and ba-PWV are associated with cardiovascular events, and cf-PWV demonstrates a higher predictive value compared with ba-PWV. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov ; Unique identifier: NCT02368938.

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