Dynamical Behavior and Bifurcation Analysis of the SIR Model with Continuous Treatment and State-Dependent Impulsive Control

分叉 人口 跨临界分岔 数学 理论(学习稳定性) 应用数学 稳定性理论 基本再生数 国家(计算机科学) 分岔理论 控制理论(社会学) 控制(管理) 计算机科学 物理 非线性系统 人口学 量子力学 机器学习 人工智能 社会学 算法
作者
Qian Li,Yanni Xiao
出处
期刊:International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos [World Scientific]
卷期号:29 (10): 1950131-1950131 被引量:15
标识
DOI:10.1142/s0218127419501311
摘要

In this study, we propose a state-dependent impulsive model describing the susceptible individuals-triggered interventions. We find that the model with susceptible individuals-guided impulsive interventions can exhibit very complex dynamical behaviors with rich biological meanings. We note that this formulated impulsive model has disease-free periodic solution, and we can investigate the threshold dynamics by defining the control reproduction number. We study the existence and stability of the disease-free periodic solution (DFPS) for [Formula: see text]. Our results show that, even if the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text], the DFPS can still be stable when the threshold level of susceptible population [Formula: see text], indicating that with a proper chosen [Formula: see text], the state-dependent impulsive strategy can effectively control the development of the infectious disease and eradicate the disease eventually. By employing the bifurcation theory, we investigate the bifurcation phenomenon near the DFPS with respect to some key parameters, and observe that a positive order-1 periodic solution can bifurcate from the DFPS via a transcritical bifurcation. By utilizing numerical simulation, we further explore the existence and stability of the positive order-[Formula: see text] periodic solutions, and found the feasibility of stable positive order-1, order-2 and order-3 periodic solutions, that imply the existence of chaos. In particular, we find that there can be three positive order-1 periodic solutions simultaneously, in which one is stable and the other two are unstable. Our finding indicates that the comprehensive strategy combining continuous treatment with state-dependent impulsive vaccination and isolation plays a crucial role in controlling the prevalence and further spread of the infectious diseases.

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