Understanding pesticide-induced tipping in plant-pollinator networks across geographical scales: Prioritizing richness and modularity over nestedness

Mutually beneficial interactions between plants and pollinators are crucial for biodiversity, ecosystem stability, and crop production. A threat to a mutualistic network is the occurrence of a tipping point at which the species abundances collapse to a near zero level. In modern agriculture, there is widespread use of pesticides. What are the effects of extensive pesticide use on mutualistic networks? We develop a plant-pollinator-pesticide model and study its dynamics using 123 mutualistic networks across the globe. We demonstrate that pesticide exposure can lead to a tipping point. Furthermore, while the network characteristics such as richness and modularity exhibit a strong association with pesticide-induced tipping, nestedness shows a weak association. A surprising finding is that the mutualistic networks in the African continent are less pesticide tolerant than those in Europe. We articulate and test a pragmatic intervention strategy through targeted management of pesticide levels within specific plant species to delay or avert the tipping point. Our study provides quantitative insights into the phenomenon of pesticide-induced tipping for safeguarding mutualistic networks that are fundamental to agriculture and ecosystems.