Microvascular invasion-negative hepatocellular carcinoma: Prognostic value of qualitative and quantitative Gd-EOB-DTPA MRI analysis

Objectives The purpose of this study was to establish a model for predicting the prognosis of patients with microvascular invasion (MVI)-negative hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) based on qualitative and quantitative analyses of Gd-EOB-DTPA magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Materials and methods Consecutive patients with MVI-negative HCC who underwent preoperative Gd-EOB-DTPA MRI between January 2015 and December 2019 were retrospectively enrolled. In total, 122 patients were randomly assigned to the training and validation groups at a ratio of 7:3. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify significant clinical parameters and MRI features, including quantitative and qualitative parameters associated with prognosis, which were incorporated into a predictive nomogram. The end-point of this study was recurrence-free survival. Outcomes were compared between groups using the Kaplan–Meier method with the log-rank test. Results During a median follow-up period of 58.86 months, 38 patients (31.15 %) experienced recurrence. Multivariate analysis revealed that lower relative enhancement ratio (RER), hepatobiliary phase hypointensity without arterial phase hyperenhancement, Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System category, mild-moderate T2 hyperintensity, and higher aspartate aminotransferase levels were risk factors associated with prognosis and then incorporated into the prognostic model. C-indices for training and validation groups were 0.732 and 0.692, respectively. The most appropriate cut-off value for RER was 1.197. Patients with RER ≤ 1.197 had significantly higher postoperative recurrence rates than those with RER > 1.197 (p = 0.004). Conclusion The model integrating qualitative and quantitative imaging parameters and clinical parameters satisfactorily predicted the prognosis of patients with MVI-negative HCC.