Global Evolution and Transmission Dynamics of Enterovirus D68

Enterovirus D68 (EV-D68), a serotype of the enterovirus species D, has garnered significant attention due to outbreaks reported in 2014, 2016, and 2018. In this study, 36 Chinese EV-D68 strains were isolated, sequenced, and combined with all EV-D68 VP1 sequences from GenBank to form a data set of 1679 sequences. This data set served as the basis for phylogenetic, evolutionary dynamics, phylogeographic, and key amino acid site mutation analyses of EV-D68. Based on the VP1 region, EV-D68 is classified into four genotypes (A-D), and seven subgenotypes (B1-B3, D1-D4), with B3 and D3 being the predominant subgenotypes. Bayesian skyline plots indicated that genotypes B and D experienced multiple population expansions, aligning with reported EV-D68 outbreaks. Phylogeographic analyses of the B3 subgenotypes revealed sequences from Europe and North America clustering into a single evolutionary branch, suggesting significant transmission between these regions. Additionally, mutation analysis identified VP1-98 as a high-frequency mutation site, differing significantly between the previously prevalent A and C genotypes and the currently prevalent B and D genotypes. However, the functional implications of this mutation require further investigation. This study provides a solid theoretical basis for epidemiological research, disease surveillance, and prevention efforts related to EV-D68.