Saltiness is a key characteristic that influences the quality of soy sauce. Currently, the evaluation of saltiness intensity in soy sauce relies on sensory evaluation methods, while a scientific and efficient model to quantify saltiness is lacking. Liquid chromatography–mass spectrometry (LC-MS) and inductively coupled plasma–optical emission spectrometry (ICP-OES) were used to analyze key taste compounds in 10 soy sauce samples. According to sensory evaluation and taste addition experiments, the model for assessing the saltiness intensity of soy sauce was established. The results indicate that the umami amino acid (aspartic acid, 2.44~15.30 mg/mL; glutamic acid, 8.29~67.94 mg/mL) and the nucleotides 5′-inosinic acid (0.44~12.5 mg/mL) and 5′-guanylic acid (0.41~2.51 mg/mL) mainly contributed the saltiness intensity of soy sauce through umami synergy. Pyroglutamic acid (19.6~79.22 mg/mL) and lactic acid (0.77~0.85 mg/mL) are the primary taste-contributing organic acids to balance the taste profile in soy sauce. The Na+ (54.6 mg/mL) and K+ (8.13 mg/mL) contents are both relatively high, directly affecting the saltiness of the soy sauce. Through Spearman’s correlation analysis, 11 key taste compounds were identified to construct a multiple linear regression prediction model for saltiness intensity. The model demonstrates excellent predictive performance, providing a theoretical basis and methodological support for objectively evaluating soy sauce saltiness and reducing salt content through a scientific approach.