流行病模型
2019年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)
平稳分布
遍历理论
白噪声
消光(光学矿物学)
2019-20冠状病毒爆发
应用数学
噪音(视频)
严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2型(SARS-CoV-2)
随机建模
数学
计算机科学
统计物理学
传染病(医学专业)
医学
马尔可夫链
疾病
统计
病毒学
物理
数学分析
人口
人工智能
光学
图像(数学)
环境卫生
爆发
病理
作者
Hebatallah J. Alsakaji,Fathalla A. Rihan,A. H. Hashish
出处
期刊:Complexity
[Hindawi Publishing Corporation]
日期:2022-01-01
卷期号:2022 (1)
被引量:49
摘要
In this paper, we study the dynamics of COVID‐19 in the UAE with an extended SEIR epidemic model with vaccination, time‐delays, and random noise. The stationary ergodic distribution of positive solutions is examined, in which the solution fluctuates around the equilibrium of the deterministic case, causing the disease to persist stochastically. It is possible to attain infection‐free status (extinction) in some situations, in which diseases die out exponentially and with a probability of one. The numerical simulations and fit to real observations prove the effectiveness of the theoretical results. Combining stochastic perturbations with time‐delays enhances the dynamics of the model, and white noise intensity is an important part of the treatment of infectious diseases.
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