德尔菲
德尔菲法
计算机科学
订单(交换)
专家意见
运筹学
管理科学
数据科学
人工智能
业务
数学
经济
医学
财务
重症监护医学
操作系统
作者
Norman C. Dalkey,Olaf Helmer
出处
期刊:Management Science
[Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences]
日期:1963-04-01
卷期号:9 (3): 458-467
被引量:6010
摘要
This paper gives an account of an experiment in the use of the so-called DELPHI method, which was devised in order to obtain the most reliable opinion consensus of a group of experts by subjecting them to a series of questionnaires in depth interspersed with controlled opinion feedback.
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