卡特里娜飓风
人口学
死亡率
百分点
休克(循环)
人口
超额死亡率
自然灾害
老年学
地理
医学
经济
内科学
气象学
财务
社会学
作者
Tatyana Deryugina,David Molitor
摘要
We follow Medicare cohorts to estimate Hurricane Katrina's long-run mortality effects on victims initially living in New Orleans. Including the initial shock, the hurricane improved eight-year survival by 2.07 percentage points. Migration to lower-mortality regions explains most of this survival increase. Those migrating to low-versus high-mortality regions look similar at baseline, but their subsequent mortality is 0.83-1.01 percentage points lower per percentage point reduction in local mortality, quantifying causal effects of place on mortality among this population. Migrants' mortality is also lower in destinations with healthier behaviors and higher incomes but is unrelated to local medical spending and quality.
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