Axial orientation of the femoral trochlea is superior to femoral anteversion for predicting patellar instability

Abstract Purpose The femoral anteversion angle is considered to be the same as femoral torsion; however, the femoral anteversion angle is strongly influenced by the femoral posterior condylar morphology. It remains unclear whether the femoral anteversion angle and axial orientation of the femoral trochlea can predict patellar instability. This study aimed to redefine the femoral inherent torsion, verify whether the femoral anteversion angle reflects the femoral inherent torsion, and compare the validity and calculate the cut‐off values of the femoral anteversion angle and femoral trochlear axial orientation for predicting patellar instability. Methods Seventy‐three patients with patellar instability and 73 matched controls underwent computed tomography to measure the femoral anteversion angle, femoral inherent torsion, and femoral trochlear axial orientation. Pearson’s product moment correlation coefficients and linear regression were calculated to determine correlations between measurements. Receiver operating characteristic curves and nomograms were plotted to evaluate the predictive validity of the femoral anteversion angle and femoral trochlear axial orientation for patellar instability. Results All measurements showed excellent intra‐ and inter‐observer reliability. Compared with the control group, the patellar instability group had a significantly larger femoral anteversion angle (25.4 ± 6.4° vs. 20.2 ± 4.5°) and femoral inherent torsion (18.3 ± 6.7° vs. 15.8 ± 3.4°), and significantly smaller femoral trochlear axial orientation (58.1 ± 7.3° vs. 66.9 ± 5.1°). The femoral anteversion angle and femoral trochlear axial orientation had area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values of 79 and 84%, respectively, and cut‐off values of 24.5° and 62.7°, respectively. The calibration curve and decision curve analysis showed that the femoral trochlear axial orientation performed better than the femoral anteversion angle in predicting patellar instability. There was a strong correlation between the femoral anteversion angle and femoral inherent torsion (r > 0.8). Linear regression analysis of the femoral inherent torsion with the femoral anteversion angle as the prediction variate showed moderate goodness‐of‐fit (adjusted R2 = 0.69). Conclusion The femoral anteversion angle moderately reflects the femoral inherent torsion. The femoral trochlear axial orientation is better than the femoral anteversion in predicting patellar instability in terms of predictive efficiency, consistency with reality, and net clinical benefit. These findings warn orthopaedists against overstating the role of the femoral anteversion angle in patellar instability, and suggest that the femoral trochlear axial orientation could aid in identifying at‐risk patients and developing surgical strategies for patellar instability. Level of evidence III.