Machine learning identifies clinical sepsis phenotypes that translate to the plasma proteome

Abstract Background Sepsis therapy is still limited to treatment of the underlying infection and supportive measures. To date, various sepsis subtypes were proposed, but therapeutic options addressing the molecular changes of sepsis were not identified. With the aim of a future individualized therapy, we used machine learning (ML) to identify clinical phenotypes and their temporal development in a prospective, multicenter sepsis cohort and characterized them using plasma proteomics. Methods Routine clinical data and blood samples were collected from 384 patients. Sepsis phenotypes were identified based on clinical measurements and plasma samples from 301 patients were analyzed using mass spectrometry. The obtained data were evaluated in relation to the phenotypes, and supervised ML models were developed enabling prospective phenotype classification. Results Three sepsis phenotypes were identified. Cluster C was characterized by the highest disease severity and multi-organ failure with leading liver failure. Cluster B showed relevant organ failure, with renal damage being particularly prominent in comparison to cluster A. Time course analysis showed a strong association of cluster C with mortality, while patients in cluster B were likely to change the cluster until day 4. The plasma proteome reflected the clinical features of the phenotypes and showed gradual consumption of complement and coagulation factors with increasing sepsis severity. Supervised ML models allowed the assignment of patients based on only seven widely available features (alanine transaminase (ALT), aspartate transaminase (AST), base excess (BE), international normalized ratio of thrombin time (INR), diastolic arterial blood pressure, systolic arterial blood pressure (BPdia, BPsys) and activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT)). Conclusions The identified clinical phenotypes reflected varying degrees of sepsis severity and were mirrored in the plasma proteome. Proteomic profiling offered novel insights into the molecular mechanisms underlying sepsis and enabled a deeper characterization of the identified phenotypes.