Preliminary cost forecasting and optimization for the construction of steel pedestrian bridges in Egypt

计算机科学 桥(图论) 过程(计算) 成本估算 参数统计 工业工程 优化设计 运筹学 系统工程 工程类 机器学习 医学 统计 数学 内科学 操作系统
作者
Niveen Badra,Hosam Elhegazy,Mohamed Mousa,Jiansong Zhang,Sharifah Akmam Syed Zakaria,Said Aboul Haggag,Ibrahim Abdul-Rashied
出处
期刊:Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management [Emerald Publishing Limited]
卷期号:32 (4): 2210-2241 被引量:3
标识
DOI:10.1108/ecam-08-2023-0870
摘要

Purpose This research aims to create a methodology that integrates optimization techniques into preliminary cost estimates and predicts the impacts of design alternatives of steel pedestrian bridges (SPBs). The cost estimation process uses two main parameters, but the main goal is to create a cost estimation model. Design/methodology/approach This study explores a flexible model design that uses computing capabilities for decision-making. Using cost optimization techniques, the model can select an optimal pedestrian bridge system based on multiple criteria that may change independently. This research focuses on four types of SPB systems prevalent in Egypt and worldwide. The study also suggests developing a computerized cost and weight optimization model that enables decision-makers to select the optimal system for SPBs in keeping up with the criteria established for that system. Findings In this paper, the authors developed an optimization model for cost estimates of SPBs. The model considers two main parameters: weight and cost. The main contribution of this study based on a parametric study is to propose an approach that enables structural engineers and designers to select the optimum system for SPBs. Practical implications The implications of this research from a practical perspective are that the study outlines a feasible approach to develop a computerized model that utilizes the capabilities of computing for quick cost optimization that enables decision-makers to select the optimal system for four common SPBs based on multiple criteria that may change independently and in concert with cost optimization during the preliminary design stage. Social implications The model can choose an optimal system for SPBs based on multiple criteria that may change independently and in concert with cost optimization. The resulting optimization model can forecast the optimum cost of the SPBs for different structural spans and road spans based on local unit costs of materials cost of steel structures, fabrication, erection and painting works. Originality/value The authors developed a computerized model that uses spreadsheet software's capabilities for cost optimization, enabling decision-makers to select the optimal system for SPBs meeting the criteria established for such a system. Based on structural characteristics and material unit costs, this study shows that using the optimization model for estimating the total direct cost of SPB systems, the project cost can be accurately predicted based on the conceptual design status, and positive prediction outcomes are achieved.
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