Inflammatory Burden Index as a Predictor of In‐Hospital Mortality in Patients With Severe Fever With Thrombocytopenia Syndrome

医学 内科学 严重发热伴血小板减少综合征 比例危险模型 接收机工作特性 多元分析 多元统计 生存分析 免疫学 数学 统计 病毒
作者
Zhixian Yang,Luonan Wang,Baoyu Hong,Zhicheng He,Qixing Zhang,Tingting Shen,Junjie Shen,Shichun Shen,Yan Cheng,Gong Chen
出处
期刊:Journal of Medical Virology [Wiley]
卷期号:97 (2) 被引量:2
标识
DOI:10.1002/jmv.70225
摘要

ABSTRACT Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is an infectious disease caused by a novel bunyavirus that poses a significant threat to human health. The aim of this study was to identify a precise and user‐friendly indicator for predicting the mortality of patients with SFTS. We retrospectively analyzed data from 181 hospitalized patients with SFTS. Inflammatory markers, including the neutrophil‐to‐lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte‐to‐monocyte ratio (LMR), platelet‐to‐lymphocyte ratio (PLR), systemic inflammation index (SII), systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI), C‐reactive protein‐to‐albumin ratio (CAR), and inflammatory burden index (IBI), were compared between the survival group and the nonsurvival group. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the diagnostic value of the IBI for the poor prognosis of SFTS patients. Survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan‒Meier (KM) method. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression models were used to explore factors influencing the prognosis of hospitalized patients with SFTS. The results indicate that patients with high IBI had significantly higher mortality rates than those with low IBI. ROC curve analysis revealed that the IBI had better predictive value than the other indicators did, with an optimal cutoff value of 0.878. Kaplan–Meier survival analysis revealed that patients with high IBI had higher mortality rates and shorter survival times. Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that the IBI was an independent risk factor for poor prognosis in patients with SFTS. Therefore, the IBI can be used to help clinicians identify high‐risk individuals and implement timely therapeutic interventions.
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