背景(考古学)
心理学
实证研究
经验证据
考试(生物学)
认知心理学
动态不一致
经济
借记
认知偏差
管理科学
语境效应
计算机科学
跨期选择
动机推理
统计假设检验
实证经济学
社会心理学
作者
Pelin Gulum Tas,Yousef Maknoon,Jafar Rezaei
摘要
ABSTRACT Intertemporal judgements are susceptible to biases that can distort evaluations and lead to inconsistent choices. While time‐related biases have been studied extensively from a descriptive perspective, little attention has been given to prescriptive approaches and the complex trade‐offs involved in multi‐attribute decision‐making (MADM). This study provides a comprehensive review of the effects of such biases on the MADM process. Drawing on evidence from behavioural economics, psychology, and decision analysis, we identify six time‐related biases and analyse the vulnerabilities they can introduce at each step of the MADM procedure. We also outline preliminary ideas that may help analysts and decision‐makers reduce these biases in the unique context of intertemporal multi‐attribute problems. Our findings highlight the importance of addressing biases from the earliest stages, such as problem structuring, and underscore the need for further empirical research to test and refine these proposed strategies.
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