Trend Analysis of China's Energy Consumption Intensity

This paper deals with the trend of energy consumption intensity in various sectors,which includes agriculture sector,industry sector,transportation sector,commercial sector and residential sector,and probes into the reason for sectoial change in energy consumption intensity of the developed countries.On such a basis,the sectorial energy consumption intensity forecasting method was used to predict China's tendency of aggregate energy consumption intensity.The results show that China's energy consumption intensity assumes a downward trend in the next 10 years,which is closely related to the process of industrialization.Adjusting the industrial structure and energy structure and improving energy efficiency seem to be the most effective measures to reduce energy consumption intensity in the future.