厄尔尼诺南方涛动
气候学
环境科学
南方涛动
多元ENSO指数
气候变化
气候模式
最高温度
震级(天文学)
太平洋十年振荡
极值理论
拉尼娜现象
大气科学
地质学
物理
海洋学
天文
统计
数学
作者
Julie M. Arblaster,Lisa V. Alexander
摘要
The impact of the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on temperature extremes is examined in both observations and coupled climate model simulations. HadEX2, a newly developed observed gridded dataset of climate extremes indices shows marked contrasts in seasonal composites of the monthly maximum value of daily maximum temperature during the cold and warm phases of ENSO. Extreme maximum temperatures are significantly cooler over Australia, southern Asia, Canada and South Africa during strong La Niña events compared to El Niño events and significantly warmer over the contiguous United States and southern South America. Two climate models are contrasted for their ability to capture these relationships given their very different simulations of ENSO. While both models capture some aspects of the observed patterns, the fidelity of the ENSO simulation appears to be crucial for simulating the magnitude and sign of the extreme maximum temperature relationships. The impact of future climate change on these patterns is also investigated.
科研通智能强力驱动
Strongly Powered by AbleSci AI