Global, regional and national epidemiology of alopecia areata: a systematic review and modelling study

BACKGROUND: Alopecia areata (AA) is a chronic autoimmune disease that leads to a high psychiatric, economic and systemic disease burden. A comprehensive understanding of AA epidemiology is essential for evaluating healthcare source utilization; however, a systematic approach to summarizing epidemiological data on AA is lacking. OBJECTIVES: To investigate systematically the global, regional and national incidence and prevalence of AA. METHODS: A structured search was conducted using the databases MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, SciELO and Korean Journal Database from their date of inception to 4 October 2023. Studies that reported the prevalence or incidence of AA were included. We used a Bayesian hierarchical linear mixed model to analyse prevalence estimates. The primary outcomes of our study were the global, regional and national prevalence of physician-diagnosed AA for the overall population, for adults and for children. The incidence data were summarized descriptively. RESULTS: In total, 88 studies from 28 countries were included in the analysis. The reported incidence of AA tended to be higher in adults aged 19-50 years, and this trend was consistent with its estimated prevalence. The reported prevalence in overall populations tended to be higher in men vs. women. The estimated lifetime prevalence rate of AA was 0.10% [95% credible interval (CrI) 0.03-0.39] in the general population worldwide, 0.12% (95% CrI 0.02-0.52) in adults and 0.03% (95% CrI 0.01-0.12) in children. The estimated prevalence of AA was highest in the Asian region and lowest in the African region. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, 48% of the Global Burden of Disease regions had insufficient data on the prevalence or incidence of AA. Further studies are needed to provide epidemiological information on middle- and low-income countries. Our study may serve as a crucial reference in terms of healthcare policy decisions.