Impact of COPD on mortality: An 8-year observational retrospective healthcare claims database cohort study

Background Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality. Here we present a large observational study on the association of COPD and exacerbations with mortality (AvoidEx Mortality). Methods A real-world, observational cohort study with longitudinal analyses of German healthcare claims data in patients ≥40 years of age with a COPD diagnosis from 2011 to 2018 (n = 250,723) was conducted. Patients entered the cohort (index date) upon the first COPD diagnosis. To assess the impact of COPD on all-cause death, a propensity score-matched control group of non-COPD patients was constructed. The number and severity of exacerbations during a 12-month pre-index period were used to form subgroups. For each exacerbation subgroup the exacerbations during 12 months prior to death were analysed. Results COPD increases the all-cause mortality risk by almost 60% (HR 1.57 (95% CI 1.55–1.59)) in comparison to matched non-COPD controls, when controlling for other baseline covariates. The cumulative risk of death after 8 years was highest in patients with a history of more than one moderate or severe exacerbation. Among all deceased COPD patients, 17.2% had experienced a severe, and 34.8% a moderate exacerbation, within 3 months preceding death. Despite increasing exacerbation rates towards death, more than the half of patients were not receiving any recommended pharmacological COPD therapy in the year before death. Conclusion Our study illustrates the impact of COPD on mortality risk and highlights the need for consequent COPD management comprising exacerbation assessment and treatment.