The number of hepatocellular carcinoma foci as predictor of poor response to tumor-directed therapies in patients awaiting liver transplantation: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Tumor-directed therapies (TDTs) are a constitutive part of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treatment in patients awaiting liver transplantation (LT). While most patients benefit from TDTs as a bridge to LT, some patients drop out from the waiting list due to tumor progression. The study aimed to determine the risk factors for poor treatment outcome following TDTs among patients with HCC awaiting LT. METHODS: A total of 123 patients with HCC were evaluated with 92 patients meeting Milan Criteria enrolled in the prospective cohort study. Tumor response was evaluated using the modified Response Evaluation Criteria for Solid Tumors for HCC 1 month after the procedure. The risk factors for progressive disease (PD) and dropout were evaluated. RESULTS: After TDT, 55 patients (59.8%) achieved complete or partial response (44.6% and 15.2% respectively), 17 patients (18.5%) had stable disease, and 20 patients (21.7%) were assessed as PD. Multivariate analysis revealed a significant and independent association between the number of HCC foci and PD ( P = 0.03, OR = 2.68). There was no statistically significant association between treatment response and demographics, MELDNa score, pre-and post-treatment alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), cumulative tumor burden the largest tumor size, or TDT modality. PD was the major cause of dropout in our cohort. Pre-treatment AFP levels ≥200 ng/ml had a strong association with dropout after TDTs ( P = 0.0005). CONCLUSION: This study demonstrated the presence of multifocal HCC is the sole prognostic factor for PD following TDTs in HCC patients awaiting LT. We recommend prioritizing patients with multifocal HCC within Milan criteria by exception points for LT to improve the dropout rate.