Systems analysis of phosphorylation‐regulated Bcl‐2 interactions establishes a model to reconcile the controversy over the significance of Bcl‐2 phosphorylation

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The biological significance of the multi-site phosphorylation of Bcl-2 at its loop region (T69, S70 and S87) has remained controversial for decades. This is a major obstacle for understanding apoptosis and anti-tumour drug development. EXPERIMENTAL APPROACH: We established a mathematical model into which a phosphorylation and de-phosphorylation process of Bcl-2 was integrated. Paclitaxel-treated breast cancer cells were used as experimental models. Changes in the kinetics of binding with its critical partners, induced by phosphorylation of Bcl-2 were experimentally obtained by surface plasmon resonance, using a phosphorylation-mimicking mutant EEE-Bcl-2 (T69E, S70E and S87E). KEY RESULTS: Mathematical simulations combined with experimental validation showed that phosphorylation regulates Bcl-2 with different dynamics depending on the extent of Bcl-2 phosphorylation and the phosphorylated Bcl-2-induced changes in binding kinetics. In response to Bcl-2 homology 3 (BH3)-only protein Bmf stress, Bcl-2 phosphorylation switched from diminishing to enhancing the Bcl-2 anti-apoptotic ability with increased phosphorylation of Bcl-2, and the turning point was 50% Bcl-2 phosphorylation induced by 0.2 μM paclitaxel treatment. In contrast, Bcl-2 phosphorylation enhanced the anti-apoptotic ability of Bcl-2 towards other BH3-only proteins Bim, Bad and Puma, throughout the entire phosphorylation procedure. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: The model could accurately predict the effects of anti-tumour drugs that involve the Bcl-2 family pathway, as shown with ABT-199 or etoposide.