MRI-Derived Modeling of Disease Progression Patterns in Patients With Temporal Lobe Epilepsy

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Temporal lobe epilepsy (TLE) is assumed to follow a steady course that is similar across patients. To date, phenotypic and temporal diversities of TLE evolution remain unknown. In this study, we aimed at simultaneously characterizing these sources of variability based on cross-sectional data. METHODS: We studied consecutive patients with TLE referred for evaluation by neurologists to the Montreal Neurological Institute epilepsy clinic, who underwent in-patient video EEG monitoring and multimodal imaging at 3 Tesla, comprising 3D T1 and fluid-attenuated inversion recovery and 2D diffusion-weighted MRI. The cohort included patients with drug-resistant epilepsy and patients with drug-responsive epilepsy. The neuropsychological evaluation included Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale-III and Leonard tapping task. The control group consisted of participants without TLE recruited through advertisement and who underwent the same MRI acquisition as patients. Based on surface-based analysis of key MRI markers of pathology (gray matter morphology and white matter microstructure), the Subtype and Stage Inference algorithm estimated subtypes and stages of brain pathology to which individual patients were assigned. The number of subtypes was determined by running the algorithm 100 times and estimating mean and SD of disease trajectories and the consistency of patients' assignments based on 1,000 bootstrap samples. Effect of normal aging was subtracted from patients. We examined associations with clinical and cognitive parameters and utility for individualized predictions. RESULTS: < 0.05 across all comparisons. DISCUSSION: Cross-sectional MRI-derived models provide reliable prognostic markers of TLE disease evolution, which follows distinct trajectories, each associated with divergent patterns of hippocampal and whole-brain structural alterations, as well as cognitive and clinical profiles.