An integrated framework for prognosis prediction and drug response modeling in colorectal liver metastasis drug discovery

Abstract Background Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most prevalent cancer globally, and liver metastasis (CRLM) is the primary cause of death. Hence, it is essential to discover novel prognostic biomarkers and therapeutic drugs for CRLM. Methods This study developed two liver metastasis-associated prognostic signatures based on differentially expressed genes (DEGs) in CRLM. Additionally, we employed an interpretable deep learning model utilizing drug sensitivity databases to identify potential therapeutic drugs for high-risk CRLM patients. Subsequently, in vitro and in vivo experiments were performed to verify the efficacy of these compounds. Results These two prognostic models exhibited superior performance compared to previously reported ones. Obatoclax, a BCL-2 inhibitor, showed significant differential responses between high and low risk groups classified by prognostic models, and demonstrated remarkable effectiveness in both Transwell assay and CT26 colorectal liver metastasis mouse model. Conclusions This study highlights the significance of developing specialized prognostication approaches and investigating effective therapeutic drugs for patients with CRLM. The application of a deep learning drug response model provides a new drug discovery strategy for translational medicine in precision oncology.