Analysis of the Structural Evolution and Determinants of the Global Digital Service Trade Network

Amid global digital transformation, digital service trade has become a transformative force reshaping international economies. We employ an innovative combination of Social Network Analysis (SNA) and Quadratic Assignment Procedure (QAP) to simultaneously dissect the macroscopic structure and microscopic determinants of the global digital service trade network. Key findings reveal: (1) The global digital service trade network exhibits distinct scale-free and small-world characteristics, reflecting deepening globalization. (2) The global hierarchy demonstrates structural rigidity, wherein core nations persistently reinforce their dominance despite selective upward mobility achieved by certain emerging economies. (3) Clear community differentiation emerges, featuring stable European subgroups, dynamic Asia-Pacific reorganization, and marginalized yet internally diverging Africa-Latin America clusters. (4) QAP regression identifies technological gaps and economic disparities as primary enablers, whereas geographical distance, internet development asymmetries and digital infrastructure divides constitute significant barriers, with linguistic commonality exerting positive effects. Based on empirical findings, we propose policy suggestion from four aspects: multilateral coordination for digital trade rules, digital infrastructure development, regional digital integration, and cross-civilizational digital communities. The study enriches analytical approaches to digital trade networks and provides theoretical foundations and policy insights for constructing an inclusive global digital economy framework.