布鲁氏菌病
地理
中国
入射(几何)
空间分布
分布(数学)
环境卫生
社会经济学
兽医学
人口学
环境保护
医学
物理
数学分析
社会学
考古
光学
遥感
数学
作者
Qi Zhang,Chunlin Li,Ying Wang,Ye Li,Xiaohu Han,Huan Zhang,Dali Wang,Yilan Liao,Zeliang Chen
摘要
Brucellosis is a natural epidemic zoonotic disease. Liaoning province, north-east of China, has been among the top 10 provinces with highest brucellosis incidence. In this study, the spatial and temporal distribution of brucellosis in Liaoning Province from 2006 through 2017 was analysed using the Bayesian theory of space–time modelling. The study found that in Liaoning Province, (a) all regions of the entire study area were stable counties; (b) the risk of brucellosis declined slowly with time without an obvious trend; (c) the declining trend of disease risk in three sub-hot-spot counties was faster than the overall trend, whereas in other counties, the trend was similar to the overall trend. Furthermore, the time and spatial trends of brucellosis incidence in Liaoning Province were calculated and analysed. These results may provide a theoretical and scientific basis for the public health department to develop targeted effective prevention and control measures for the disease.
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