地缘政治学
商品
农业
经济
农业经济学
经济地理学
市场经济
地理
政治学
考古
政治
法学
作者
Raghav Goyal,Edouard Mensah,Sandro Steinbach
摘要
Abstract This article uses the time‐varying parameter vector autoregressive model to assess the impact of geopolitical risk and shocks on agricultural commodity markets, accounting for demand—exports; supply—input prices; inventory; speculation; and economic fluctuations. The results show that geopolitical risks significantly impact corn and soybean futures prices and market behaviors with context‐specific implications in the short to medium term. In addition, heightened geopolitical risk during the Russia–Ukraine war increased oil prices and indirectly elevated agricultural commodity prices. These insights are crucial for agricultural risk management, informing federal policies and forecasting future price trends in an increasingly uncertain global market environment.
科研通智能强力驱动
Strongly Powered by AbleSci AI