The increased mortality associated with a weekend emergency admission is due to increased illness severity and altered case-mix

周末效应 医学 逻辑回归 住院 优势比 单变量分析 急诊医学 急诊科 病例组合指数 可能性 多元分析 疾病严重程度 儿科 内科学 精神科 护理部
作者
Olga Mikulich,Elizabeth Callaly,Kathleen Bennett,Deirdre O’Riordan,Bernard Silke
出处
期刊:Acute medicine 卷期号:10 (4): 182-7 被引量:83
标识
DOI:10.52964/amja.0507
摘要

BACKGROUND: A weekend emergency medical admission has been associated with a higher mortality. We have examined all weekend admissions to St James' Hospital, Dublin between 2002 and 2009. METHODS: We divided admissions by weekday or weekend (Saturday or Sunday) presentation. We utilised a multivariate logistic model, to determine whether a weekend admission was independently predictive of 30 day outcome. RESULTS: There were 49337 episodes recorded in 25883 patients; 30-day inhospital mortality at the weekend (9.9% vs. 9.0%) had an unadjusted Odds Ratio of 1.11 (95% CI 0.99, 1.23: p=0.057). In the full risk unlike the univariate) model, a weekend admission was not independently predictive (OR 1.05; 95% CI: 0.88, 1.24). The case-mix for a weekend admission differed; with more neurological diagnoses (22.8% vs 20.4% : p = 0.001) and less gastrointestinal disease (18.3% vs 21.1% : p = 0.001). A biochemistry only illness severity score predicted a higher mortality for weekend admissions. CONCLUSION: Patients admitted at the weekend had an approximate 11% increased 30-day in-hospital mortality, compared with a weekday admission. However, admission at the weekend was not independently predictive in a risk model that included Illness Severity (age and biochemical markers) and co-morbidity. Sicker patients, with a worse outcome, are admitted over the weekend; these considerations should inform the allocation of healthcare resources.

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