Association between atherogenic index of plasma and new-onset stroke in a population with cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic syndrome stages 0–3: insights from CHARLS

The associations between atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) have been widely reported; However, such association to the incidence of stroke in the population with Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic (CKM) syndrome remains ambiguous. A total of 7754 participants with CKM syndrome stages 0-3 from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study were enrolled in this study. The incidence of new-onset stroke events was the primary outcome of this study. We used Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox proportional hazards models to explore the association between baseline AIP levels and the risk of stroke in the population with CKM syndrome stages 0-3. Additionally, we utilized restricted cubic spline plots to analyze the form of this association. During a median follow-up of 6.8 years, 455 participants (5.9%) with CKM syndrome experienced their first stroke events. AIP was positively associated with the risk of stroke in the population with CKM syndrome stages 0-3. Kaplan-Meier curves analysis demonstrated a significant difference in stroke incidence across the AIP groups among the entire cohort. In the fully adjusted Model 3, the results revealed a significantly elevated risk of stroke for participants in the Q2, Q3, and Q4 groups compared to those in the Q1 group, with respective HR (95% CI) value of 1.352 (1.009-1.811), 1.421 (1.064-1.897), and 1.414 (1.052-1.900). Restricted cubic spline plots revealed the association of AIP and stroke risk was nonlinear (P-overall < 0.05, P-non-linear < 0.05), with inflection points of 0.32. This study provides evidence that baseline AIP levels were significantly positively associated with the risk of stroke in individuals with CKM syndrome stages 0-3, and AIP may serve as an effective risk marker for early identification of high-risk individuals prone to stroke within the CKM stages syndrome 0-3 population.